Views on News

US President “Fires” UK Ambassador

Continuing with our study of the current US President (below), we can see a pattern emerging that may force us to modify our previous assumption about his unpredictability. On careful observation, his behavior in the face of public criticism appears quite predictable.

The problem is that Sir Kim Darroch never published his observations but merely made them in the course of performing his duty to his sovereign. Perhaps half the World has something to say privately about Mr Trump and Sir Kim Darroch definitely isn’t the first, or the last to make sincere observations about his presidency.

What does this episode say about the United Kingdom? Its been 78 years since “the New World, with all its power and might, stepped forth to the rescue and the liberation of the old.” Since then the UK has looked increasingly towards the US in every thing to do with foreign policy. The EU was a chance of escape from that dependence, but alas the vote for Brexit ensured that this need for US guidance should grow further.

Read more about it here.

7.1 magnitude Earthquake hits California

On the 4th of July, a major earthquake (6.4 magnitude) struck a remote part of the Mojave Desert in Southern California; perhaps the strongest in nearly 20 years. Shockingly, the next day a bigger one hit the same area.

So it figures that the first quake did not release the entire energy that had built up and therefore a second major quake was necessitated. Here’s one opinion on the reasons for these earthquakes: The Faults That Ruptured in Twin California Quakes Are Very, Very Weird, Geologists Say.

USGS has a website that gives detailed technical information on earthquakes. This includes an interactive map, regional information and a tectonic summary which informs that the earthquake occurred as the result of shallow strike slip faulting in the crust of the North America plate. At the location of this earthquake, approximately 150 km northeast of San Andreas Fault – the major plate boundary in the region – the Pacific plate moves to the northwest with respect to the North America plate at a rate of approximately 48 mm/yr. The location of the earthquake falls within the Eastern California shear zone, a region of distributed faulting associated with motion across the Pacific:North America plate boundary, and an area of high seismic hazard. USGS has a website that gives detailed technical information on earthquakes. This includes an interactive map, regional information and a tectonic summary which informs that the earthquake occurred as the result of shallow strike slip faulting in the crust of the North America plate. Here’s the link.

Why are parts of Europe so warm now?

Do the jet streams have something to do with this? It appears that it does. Jet streams are relatively narrow bands of strong wind in the upper levels of the atmosphere. The unusual weather we see today may be due either to the crimping of the ribbon of air that controls weather systems in the Northern Hemisphere or the weakening of the jet stream, depending on who you read. The link that survives wins.

Trump and Kim at The Demilitarized Zone

Trump and Xi agree to talk

Trump halts new China Tariffs

when we look at the recent (30th June 2019) developments against their backdrop as given in the the older news stories (links below), we can observe a very shrewd negotiator at work.

Huawei finance chief Meng Wanzhou arrested in Canada

Trump: ‘N Korea supported acts of international terrorism’

Trump at UN: North Korea’s ‘Rocket Man on suicide mission’

Observe and learn to negotiate from the best and the toughest negotiator as he negotiates in full public view. The following appear to be the main points to pick up from the President’s style:

Start from a position of strength; When you are the POTUS, you are already at the strongest possible position. Don’t give up your advantage by trying to be politically correct just to create an international image of suaveness. Plough right into the opposite party and let them back down a bit. For this you have to lose some scruples and consciously try to be ruthless.

This may not be easy for those of you brought up on stories by Enid Blighton or the cartoon characters created by her.

Be Totally Unpredictable; For those just starting down this path, don’t do the first thing that comes naturally, rather do the totally opposite thing. For example, as soon as you begin to feel guilty about something and perhaps are about to say sorry; turn right around and blame the party that first brought up the issue. They have to be guilty for pointing it out.

Predict and Preempt challenges; Tough folks do not spend “all” their time working out ways of trying to help people and create a better world. Fighters are also trying to anticipate the coming attack. You have to know yourself and your adversaries, monitor their movements, monitor their verbal expressions, try not to miss even a facial twitch. Interpret these actions and create a model of where this can lead. Anticipate and forestall.

Don’t Delay your Defense and Counterattack, (or DDDC); Soon as you notice a coming attack, use the best tool for a counterattack aka twitter. Lets say you just found out that one of your own staff may be about to resign; immediately go to the computer and fire them in such a way that the whole world knows about it.

Do not believe or defend something that you do not understand; Like global warming, there is so much talk about it and, let us face it, there is almost no real action except perhaps at the fringes. Mostly it is groups or individuals taking selfies with placards who have driven to a conference or taken a flight who will sleep in air-conditioning tonight. Do not join this party without being sure of it. Do not try to understand it either, at least not till it is too hot under the collar for you.

Believe that any position can be defended; So long as you have powerful groups with you. You can defend the right to bear arms including the semi-automatic rifles with high capacity magazines; you can lobby to arm teachers with handguns.

Some of us may be too weak to learn the above characters and social skills but with determination perhaps a few of us can. Perhaps this book can help:

The art of War by Sun Tzu

Of course our study is a continuing one and we can draw more conclusions as events play out on the world stage and I am sure we shall have plenty more points to add to the above. If you think we can already add some to the above list, do write in,

Cheerio!

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